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DTN Midday Grain Comments 06/24 10:48
Corn, Soybean Futures Higher at Midday; Wheat Mixed
Corn futures are 8 to 17 cents higher at midday Friday; soybean futures are
10 to 20 cents higher; wheat futures are 3 cents lower to 8 cents higher.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are 8 to 17 cents higher at midday Friday; soybean futures are
10 to 20 cents higher; wheat futures are 3 cents lower to 8 cents higher. The
U.S. stock market is firmer with the DOW up 630 points. The U.S. Dollar Index
is 25 points lower. Interest rate products are weaker. Energies are firmer with
crude up 4.00. Livestock trade is mixed with hogs leading. Precious metals are
firmer with gold up .20.
CORN:
Corn futures are 8 to 17 cents higher at midday with spreads weakening and
new crop leads with short-covering after the washout this week as we start to
head toward next week's stocks and acres report. Trade will continue to watch
the forecast with the near-term moderation still intact with the first half of
July the bigger deal. Weekly export sales showed improvement at 671,900 metric
tons (mt) of old crop and 358,400 mt of new. Ethanol margins are likely to
remain rangebound with strong blender margins remaining in place even as they
have narrowed a bit in recent days. Basis remains solid through most of the
Corn Belt, which may back off a bit if the spread relaxes Friday. On the July
contract chart, we have support at the 100-day moving average at $7.36 with
resistance at the $7.60 20-day moving average.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are 10 to 20 cents higher at midday with trade trying to
find footing after the dramatic washout seen the first three days of the week
with products showing a bit of support this morning. Mea1 is $7.50 to $8.50
higher and oil is 130 to 160 points higher. Biodiesel margins are very good at
the moment, which should bolster crush recovery a bit. South America is moving
toward post-harvest footing at this point. Planting is wrapped up for full
season in the U.S. and getting started on double crop with wheat harvest moving
quickly. Basis is fading a bit at processors and exporters in recent days with
the daily export wire remaining quiet. Weekly export sales were poor at 29,300
metric tons (mt) of old crop; 265,000 mt of new; -8,200 of old meal; and 42,300
of new; and 1,400 of oil. On the July soybean chart support is at $15.78, the
May 9 low, then the 200-day is all the way down at $14.79. Resistance is now at
the 100-day moving average at $16.48, then the 10-day moving average at $16.95.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are 3 cents lower to 8 cents higher with early short-covering
fading with after-harvest pressure lingering and better support from the
outside markets. The Chicago contract has led all session with the higher
protein wheat struggling. Plains weather should allow for rapid harvest with
isolated showers while spring wheat should continue to make progress in
catching up a bit, development-wise. The dollar continues to hold in the upper
end of the range with the strong ruble helping competitiveness as well with
Russia expected to have near record supplies. Weekly export sales showed
further improvement at 477,800 mt. The KC July chart has support at $9.93, a
late March low, then the 200-day moving average down at $9.29. Resistance is at
the 100-day moving average at $10.81.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on Twitter @davidfiala
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